Real Estelí vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
5º
2º
24
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
EST
11 - 0
GUE
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 12 | 56 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
EST
23%
26%
52%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 2
EST
10%
22%
68%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
JAP
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
MFC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
7 - 0
DRA
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAL
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 1
CDS
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
78%
14%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 1
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |