Liga Nicaragua Sub 20 - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Real Estelí U20 vs Diriangén U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Estelí U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
DIR
2 - 1
EST
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EST
2 - 0
CDJ
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EST
2 - 2
WFE
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JAL
0 - 1
EST
19%
22%
60%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Diriangén U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
DIR
2 - 1
EST
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
JAL
1 - 1
DIR
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
DIR
5 - 0
OCO
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 2
DIR
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DIR
4 - 0
CDJ
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |