Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
RES
1 - 2
OLI
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 2
RES
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
RES
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
RDM
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 0
VID
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RDM
3 - 4
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
HNP
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
84%
13%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |