Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
RES
1 - 1
TAU
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
RDM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
RES
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
JUT
1 - 1
RES
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
JUT
0 - 0
HNP
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 0
MOT
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 1
HNP
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 3
HNP
4%
9%
87%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RES
0 - 0
HNP
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |