Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
SOC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
RES
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
JUT
2 - 1
RES
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
HNP
32%
21%
46%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 1
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PUM
2 - 0
HNP
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 1
HNP
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
HNP
4 - 1
RSO
41%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |