Real España vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2015 |
OLI
5 - 0
RES
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
RES
4 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RES
2 - 4
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
RES
2 - 4
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
HNP
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
35%
28%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RSO
3 - 0
HNP
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |