Honduras Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
Real España vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RES
2 - 2
VID
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 2
RES
37%
26%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RSO
3 - 1
DSA
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DSA
2 - 0
RSO
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
RSO
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
RSO
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RSO
1 - 1
DSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |