Real España vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RES
1 - 0
VID
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
JUT
1 - 2
RES
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
RES
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RES
2 - 2
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
JUT
3 - 3
RDM
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MOT
10%
26%
65%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PLA
3 - 1
RDM
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOT
6 - 1
RDM
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 0
RDM
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |