Real España vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
6º
3º
41
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RES
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
4 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VID
0 - 2
OLI
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
RSO
73%
19%
9%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |