Honduras Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 0-3
Real España vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
RES
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
RES
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
RES
2 - 1
VID
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 1
RES
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
RES
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VID
2 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
VID
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
35%
24%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |