Honduras Apertura Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Real España vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RES
3 - 0
VID
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
VID
3 - 1
RES
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RES
3 - 0
NAH
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MOT
4 - 2
RES
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
AOL
0 - 2
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
OLI
5 - 0
RMY
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |