Clausura Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Real España vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
RES
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
RES
0 - 0
OLI
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
RES
0 - 0
RSO
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VID
1 - 1
MOT
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 3
MOT
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |