Real España vs CD Génesis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
23
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 3
RES
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDG
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDG
70%
20%
11%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
VID
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 76 | 59 | 0 |