Real España vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
6º
29
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
VID
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
RES
2 - 3
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
RES
14%
23%
62%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
RES
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 1
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |