Real Cubatense vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cubatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
JAB
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 0
UNI
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ARC
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
ARC
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARC
2 - 0
MOG
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MAU
3 - 0
MOG
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 3
MAU
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
JAB
0 - 0
MAU
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAU
0 - 1
UNI
70%
16%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAU
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |