Real Cubatense vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cubatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 0
ARC
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
MAU
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 0
JAB
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 0
UNI
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
ARC
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +2 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
JAB
1 - 2
MAN
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 2
MOG
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAN
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 3
MAU
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAO
18%
20%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +3 |