Real Cuautitlán vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
RCU
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 1
CAC
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 1
RCU
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 3
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 2
RCU
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
AEM
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
IRA
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
TOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
UAP
3 - 0
TOL
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |