Real Cuautitlán vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATC
2 - 3
RCU
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 1
ACH
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IAC
0 - 2
RCU
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 0
PDC
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
UAP
1 - 1
RCU
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IPC
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIA
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAZ
5 - 2
ATC
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 1
CAZ
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |