Real Colorado Foxes vs Rochester Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Colorado Foxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
ROC
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
REA
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
THU
2 - 1
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
STL
2 - 0
REA
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
REA
4 - 2
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Rochester Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
ROC
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
DES
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
SPR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
KCB
1 - 2
ROC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SPR
1 - 0
ROC
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |