Real Cinisello vs Crespi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cinisello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CIT
2 - 1
REA
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
COB
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRI
5 - 0
REA
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REA
0 - 3
SPE
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 0
CEN
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
CRE
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POL
5 - 1
CRE
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 2
POL
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PAD
5 - 1
CRE
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |