Real CD vs Liceo C.D.C. Alanis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
12 - 1
REA
73%
14%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 3
CEL
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HUE
4 - 1
REA
71%
15%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
4 - 2
REA
55%
19%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
REA
5 - 2
CAN
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Liceo C.D.C. Alanis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
5 - 1
LIC
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LIC
1 - 1
GUI
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
LIC
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LIC
5 - 3
SAL
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PRI
3 - 2
LIC
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |