Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAR
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 0
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
UNI
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 3
AME
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
0 - 1
UNI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |