Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
COR
0 - 2
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CUC
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
LLA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAR
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
PER
0 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
COR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 3
UNI
22%
27%
51%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
CUC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |