Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
ORS
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 1
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BOG
3 - 1
UNI
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |