Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
TFC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
QUI
26%
29%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
UNI
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
REA
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |