Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
CAR
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAR
14%
24%
63%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
CUC
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIO
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RSC
3 - 1
UNI
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
COR
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PER
1 - 2
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |