Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JAG
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
EQU
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
1 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SFE
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
BUC
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
AME
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |