Real Cartagena vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
EQU
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
ENV
2 - 2
CAR
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 0
RSC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SAB
2 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
UNI
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |