Real Cartagena vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
AME
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
TFC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ORS
2 - 1
QUI
23%
30%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 0
ORS
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ORS
1 - 1
LLA
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ORS
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ORS
6 - 2
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |