Real Cartagena vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PER
0 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
HUI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 0
BUC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CAL
0 - 1
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ENV
0 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
2 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |