Real Cartagena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BJC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
CAR
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
LEO
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
FOR
15%
27%
58%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BOG
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |