Real Cartagena vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
QUI
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 1
ONC
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ENV
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
AGU
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 0
ENV
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |