Real Cartagena vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
RSC
2 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
CAL
37%
30%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MIL
2 - 1
ENV
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
34%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
EQU
4 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
EQU
2 - 0
ENV
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |