Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
HUI
4 - 7
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |