Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 2
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
JUN
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAS
3 - 1
TOL
32%
30%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 0
TOL
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |