Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PAS
1 - 0
CAR
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ONC
2 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
CAL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 0
HUI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 2
SFE
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
EQU
4 - 1
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |