Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
ONC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 0
BUC
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
5 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ENV
3 - 7
TOL
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |