Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
JUN
0 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 3
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PER
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AME
0 - 2
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |