Real Cartagena vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BUC
3 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
QUI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAL
37%
25%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 0
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 2
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PAS
2 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |