Real Cartagena vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
CUC
3 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 2
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
4 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
CUC
1 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 0
JAG
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |