Real Cartagena vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAR
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ORS
0 - 0
CAR
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
QUI
19%
27%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TFC
3 - 2
BOG
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 1
BOG
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
AFC
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |