Real Cartagena vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
BOG
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 0
CAR
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ORS
0 - 0
CAR
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
QUI
21%
27%
51%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
BAR
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
REA
0 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
CUC
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |