Real Bolívar FC vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bolívar FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ACE
0 - 3
BOL
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 0
LOT
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
UAS
3 - 2
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
ZUL
15%
18%
67%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
URE
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
OFC
0 - 1
LAR
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CDS
1 - 0
LAR
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LLA
1 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |