Real Bethlehem vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RBF
3 - 4
CEN
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAX
1 - 3
RBF
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RBF
2 - 2
AGO
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
REB
0 - 1
RBF
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RBF
3 - 1
CFC
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALD
16%
17%
68%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 3
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 4
MAR
12%
16%
73%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ILO
0 - 1
SPO
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
PRM
39%
21%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |