Real Avilés B vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+866%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MCU
0 - 4
AVI
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AVI
2 - 1
HIS
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TAP
0 - 3
AVI
20%
20%
61%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LES
1 - 1
AVI
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AVI
3 - 0
CDP
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDP
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CRN
1 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 3
TRE
9%
17%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LCM
3 - 2
CAS
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
BOS
22%
22%
56%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |