Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-4
Real Avilés Industrial vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALO
2 - 2
AVI
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
0 - 1
SIE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RAC
1 - 0
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
AVI
5 - 0
CAY
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ROB
4 - 0
CAC
57%
24%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 2
CLU
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
CAC
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CAC
0 - 4
GRA
56%
25%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
CAC
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |