Real Avilés Industrial vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
57.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
AVI
8 - 0
MAL
75%
14%
11%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
AVI
3 - 2
POP
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SAN
1 - 1
AVI
51%
21%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ORE
3 - 2
AVI
60%
19%
21%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 1
SGL
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
LEV
1 - 1
SPO
60%
18%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BAD
1 - 1
SPO
46%
22%
31%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SPO
0 - 0
RSO
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
MUR
3 - 2
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |