Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-19
Real Avilés Industrial vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
0 - 0
AVI
70%
16%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
0 - 0
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
3 - 3
SLA
41%
22%
37%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 1
SPO
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAD
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
3 - 1
SPO
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
SPO
4 - 0
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 1
SPO
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
SPO
4 - 0
RSO
53%
22%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |