Real Avilés Industrial vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
LOG
2 - 1
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
AVI
0 - 0
SAB
50%
23%
26%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
1 - 0
AVI
60%
21%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
AVI
2 - 3
OVI
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
GIR
2 - 0
AVI
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
RAY
5 - 0
CUL
50%
23%
26%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
LLE
1 - 1
RAY
73%
15%
12%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
RAY
1 - 0
EIB
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 2
RAY
70%
16%
14%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
RAY
3 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +2 |