Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LAL
0 - 0
AVI
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
3 - 0
PON
42%
28%
30%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +5 |
| 08 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
0 - 0
SPB
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
1 - 0
EIB
33%
33%
35%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SPB
1 - 1
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
LUG
0 - 1
LEM
72%
20%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
CUL
2 - 2
LUG
45%
31%
24%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
LUG
0 - 0
COM
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARO
77%
17%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
COM
1 - 3
LUG
42%
30%
28%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | +1 |